Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.006545 0.007620 0.008891 0.010525 0.012602 0.015198 0.018760
2025-04-20 0.005321 0.006682 0.008479 0.011103 0.014987 0.020792 0.030732
2025-04-27 0.004592 0.006059 0.008142 0.011474 0.017008 0.026595 0.046713
2025-05-04 0.004013 0.005483 0.007686 0.011455 0.018315 0.031780 0.065946
2025-05-11 0.003586 0.005038 0.007310 0.011426 0.019538 0.037413 0.092463
2025-05-18 0.003206 0.004602 0.006857 0.011131 0.020122 0.042010 0.122961
2025-05-25 0.002861 0.004171 0.006342 0.010598 0.020020 0.044907 0.153285
2025-06-01 0.002600 0.003845 0.005956 0.010231 0.020171 0.048660 0.196899
2025-06-08 0.002463 0.003708 0.005881 0.010465 0.021841 0.058344 0.308402
2025-06-15 0.002299 0.003507 0.005661 0.010348 0.022579 0.065610 0.446031
2025-06-22 0.002108 0.003241 0.005287 0.009825 0.022045 0.067671 0.552271
2025-06-29 0.001980 0.003075 0.005087 0.009662 0.022508 0.074598 0.809986
2025-07-06 0.001888 0.002978 0.005031 0.009883 0.024441 0.092155 1.798999
2025-07-13 0.001830 0.002939 0.005089 0.010409 0.027731 0.124521 7.746431
2025-07-20 0.001760 0.002869 0.005074 0.010748 0.030633 0.163566 99.804611
2025-07-27 0.001669 0.002750 0.004937 0.010730 0.032189 0.198220 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001587 0.002640 0.004806 0.010704 0.033744 0.241167 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001496 0.002505 0.004606 0.010434 0.034093 0.273238 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001399 0.002351 0.004347 0.009946 0.033185 0.285311 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001319 0.002228 0.004149 0.009609 0.032918 0.310197 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001281 0.002186 0.004130 0.009824 0.035695 0.419444 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001227 0.002106 0.004017 0.009717 0.036680 0.504097 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001155 0.001987 0.003800 0.009237 0.035260 0.508367 NaN